I spent most of the day working on the excel spread sheet. I finished the calculations for the shortest route between the origin (Epping) and destination (Port Arthur). I will include the analysis of this route in the last module: "Risk Mitigation Measures".
On the afternoon, Xiang and I had a small talk. He recommended me to make a complete database of the reported crude oil release incidents. He suggested to add the information that I obtained from PHMSA with the one provide in the FRA database. He also pointed out that as crude oil transportation by train has boomed, the development of this database will be very helpfull in the near future.
This database will be very helpfull for my case study as well. Right now I am assuming the worst case scenario, that is the accident occurs at night and the released crude oil sets on fire. According to DOT Emergency Response Guidebook, this situation requires the evacuation of people within 0.5 miles from the location of the accident. However, in general this approach overestimates the risk as many cases don't fall in this category. Once that I develop the crude oil release incidents database, I plan on obtaining some basic statistics that would allow me to know for example how many accidents have occurred during the day and how many at night.
-Work on the presentation 3: "Risk escenario and quantitative risk model." (done)
-Work on presentation 4: "Case study introduction, justification" (to be finsihed)
-Finish Work on the excel calculations of the risk analysis (done)
Next day:
-Work on presentation 4: "Case study introduction, justification"
-Work with ArcMap to obtain the necessary maps for the presentation
-Work on the Crude Oil FRA-PHMSA database
-Attend the RailTEC weekly lunch meeting
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