I began my working day attending the Safety Group presentation. As usual, each of us briefly talked about the work that we have been doing for the past week and then Laura gave a presentation regarding his research. That is the analysis of the conditional probability of release in a derailment. I think his presentation was very interesting especially because, among other factors, it takes into account derailment speed and the possible iteraction between tank cars when a derailment occurs. Acording to her results although the velocity of the first car is the highest, it can not interact with any other car (this is one of the assumptions). Therefore, the highest CPR is found in the 8th car since its velocity is still significant and it also has the possibility to collide (and therefore release its material) with one of the first 7 cars.
After the meeting I continued to work on my excel spread sheet. I used the spread sheet that we developed the first couple of weeks as a starting point but I had to make some changes. I want to quantify the risk associated with the transportation of crude oil in two different routes. The practial route (the one that the software PC*miller provides) and the shortest route. I think it will be interesting to see the results as the practical route goes through several important cities such as Kansas and Houston. FIG10 shows the alignment of these two routes. In addition, I will compare the risk using a 111A100W1 tank car (the most frequently used) and a 112J340W tank car (very rarely used but it has a lower CPR).
Between tomorrow and Monday I plan on finishing this calculations and as soon as I do I will go back to work on the third presentation.
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FIG10: Alignment of the practical and the shortest route |
Today:
-Start presentation 4: "Case study introduction, justification" (to be finished)
-Atthend the Safety group meeting (Laura's presentation) (done)
Next day:
-Work on presentation 4: "Case study introduction, justification"
-Work on the excel calculations of the risk analysis
-Meeting with Xiang to go over the basic structure and formatting of the ppt
This link contains the folder with the modules that I have developed so far.